On the one hand, it’s very easy to explain what happened to the Mets in the 2007 season. It’s like explaining the results of the 2000 Presidential election. The margin of victory and defeat, one game in the NL East, one game in the Wild Card, is so small that any explanation you come up with will work. For this same reason, it’s something of a trivial exercise. Any team that wins 88 games has a lot of flaws. So does any team that wins, say, 92 games, which would have given us a solid 3-game lead, the best record in the National League, and a result exactly where most people pegged us at the start of the season. The issue isn’t whether you could have gotten rid of flaws, the issue is whether you could have achieved a balance of strengths and flaws that would have been marginally better than that of other teams.
Sure, if only Jose Reyes had been even just a little better in the second half than he was, it would have made the necessary difference. Sure, if we hadn’t lost Moises Alou for much of the season, it would have made the necessary difference. Sure, if Carlos Delgado’s run production hadn’t dropped, it would have made the necessary difference. Yes, if Pelfrey had straightened himself out at the beginning of the season, that would have done it. Hell, if you want to blame something, blame El Duque’s bunion. That threw off everything, showing us that we didn’t have a fifth starter and we didn’t have a middle-relief staff that could pick up the slack. You could really do this endlessly. But you know what? You could go through the roster of every team in the league and find the reasons why they did not win 1, 2, 3, or 4 games that they could have won. The fact is that young players will often lose their direction or focus from time to time. Veterans will have more slumps and get injured. A lot of times, all you can do is hope for a favorable balance of the stuff you can do and the shit that will happen.
I’m not accepting what happened. I’m not being fatalistic. Sure, I think it is the responsibility of management to maximize the strengths and minimize the flaws. But I have had my fill of “explanations” of what has happened. I scoff at some of what I’m hearing. So the Marlins did what they did to Glavine because some of the Mets players like to dance? (They dance well. It’s cool. I like it. And sometimes they do it on the top step of the dugout because that’s where they encounter their teammates. But I guess if they do it just in the dugout next year, they’ll win, like 100 games. That’s the ticket!) How come I hardly heard anything about Tony Bernazard during the season? What does it mean that Willie Randolph has to get control of his team and how do you know this and why do you think it is the reason the Mets didn’t win the division when you have facts like an insufficiently talented middle relief staff and an insufficiently deep and durable starting pitching staff available to explain the same thing?
I have already said that I still need to be convinced that a lack of motivation or heart explains what happened. I’ve already said that: “I think that we rely too much on the idea of a lack of motivation to explain disappointing performance and I think that we rely too much on the idea of motivation to explain good performance … It’s not that motivation is irrelevant. It’s just that there are too many other factors involved.”
Yes, I know what players have said to reporters. But when I read their words, I do not find evidence that they lacked motivation. I find them acknowledging that they had to maintain a constant struggle against complacency, like other talented first-place teams being lazily and intermittently pursued by deeply flawed second and third place teams. I think a lot of what happened can be explained by the fact that no one feared the Phillies, because no one had sufficient reason to fear the Phillies, until the very end, when the weakening of the pitching staff left the Mets vulnerable. This is not, in my view, a lack of motivation or dedication. I think it’s something different, and that the players, unlike the radio shock jocks, seem to have an awareness of it. They didn’t have the right psychological fix on the season. They didn’t understand the degree to which they were in danger. And by the time they were in actual danger and had to summon up everything they had, the pitching staff had opened an iceberg-size gash in the hold.
Maybe better leadership could have created a sense of urgency when the standings weren’t enough to do so. I don’t know. And I realize that our perceptions of the Mets are shaped by considerations that have nothing to do with fair and thoughtful analysis and everything to do with attracting listeners or readers.
I don’t really know what I’m trying to say in this post. I realize that I am complaining about explanations and am offering explanations myself. Am I being inconsistent? Yeah, I guess. But I also think I’m being typical of a great many Mets fans who are trying to understand what happened, in a fair, reasonable way, and who are getting sick of the kind of unfair and facile “explanations” and finger-pointing that is most of what you hear right now.